Against a backdrop of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and mixed signals from major central banks regarding their next monetary policy moves, the XRP/USD pair has remained locked in a narrow sideways range of 1.3671–1.5136 (Murray levels [4/8]–[7/8]) for the fifth consecutive week. The key level for bulls remains 1.5625 (Murray level [8/8]), as it coincides with the Bollinger Bands middle line on the weekly chart: a confirmed close above it would allow the pair to break decisively out of its descending channel and reverse the current trend, opening the way toward targets at 1.9980 (Fibonacci retracement 50.0%) and 2.3519 (Fibonacci retracement 38.2%). Conversely, a breakdown below 1.3671 (Murray level [4/8], lower Bollinger Band) would give sellers the opportunity to push toward 1.2695 (Murray level [2/8]), 1.1718 (Murray level [–1/8]), and 1.0742 (Murray level [–2/8]).
Technical indicators are sending mixed signals: the Bollinger Bands are moving horizontally, the MACD histogram remains stable in positive territory, while the Stochastic has turned lower but is still approaching the oversold zone. It is also worth noting that on the weekly chart the Bollinger Bands continue to point downward, confirming that the long-term downtrend remains intact — though a reversal cannot be ruled out, as price is preparing to challenge the Bollinger Bands middle line in the area of 1.5625 (Murray level [4/8], W1).
Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance levels: 1.5625, 1.9980, 2.3519.
Support levels: 1.3671, 1.2695, 1.1718, 1.0742.
XRP/USD Trading Scenarios and Price Forecast
Long positions can be opened above 1.5625, targeting 1.9980 and 2.3519, with a stop-loss at 1.4160. Time horizon: 5–7 days.
Short positions should be considered below 1.3671, targeting 1.2695, 1.1718, and 1.0742, with a stop-loss at 1.4420.
| Scenario |
| Timeframe |
Weekly |
| Recommendation |
BUY STOP |
| Entry Point |
1.5630 |
| Take Profit |
1.9980, 2.3519 |
| Stop Loss |
1.4160 |
| Key Levels |
1.0742, 1.1718, 1.2695, 1.3671, 1.5625, 1.9980, 2.3519 |
| Alternative Scenario |
| Recommendation |
SELL STOP |
| Entry Point |
1.3665 |
| Take Profit |
1.2695, 1.1718, 1.0742 |
| Stop Loss |
1.4420 |
| Key Levels |
1.0742, 1.1718, 1.2695, 1.3671, 1.5625, 1.9980, 2.3519 |
John Isige is an experienced cryptocurrency journalist and market analyst specializing in digital assets, blockchain innovation, and emerging Web3 trends. He provides clear, actionable market insights for traders and investors, with particular expertise in DeFi, smart contracts, NFTs, RWAs, and AI-powered blockchain ecosystems. His commentary and analysis have been featured in FORECK.INFO, CoinGape, CryptoNews, and other leading digital finance publications
