TRUMP Token Unlock: Will $959M Dump Crash the Price?

Details: By John Isige; July 14, 2025; 28

The TRUMP token is poised for a major event that could rattle its price and investor confidence. On July 18, 2025, 45% of its current circulating supply—valued at approximately $959 million—is set to be unlocked, according to data from Tokenomist. This supply release dwarfs the average monthly unlock of $209.6 million, sparking concerns of a potential sell-off and subsequent price collapse.

TRUMP Meme Coin Faces High-Stakes Week Amid 45% Unlock

What’s at Stake: The Mechanics of the Unlock

TRUMP ranks among the top three tokens in terms of scheduled unlock volume this week. With such a significant chunk of supply entering the market in a single event, the risk of liquidity-driven volatility is rising. Whale behavior already hints at early movement: data from Arkham Intelligence shows that MemeCore recently transferred 1.391 million TRUMP tokens, worth roughly $13.35 million, to Binance—a classic pre-unlock signal of incoming distribution or liquidation.

Large transfer of TRUMP tokens by MemeCore

Market sentiment has turned cautious. One user, Kamil, wrote on X: “TRUMP is down 85% from its all-time high, and it’s not over. A $520M unlock is set for July 18. Expect volatility.” The fear is that with the sudden increase in available supply, demand will fail to keep up, pushing prices further down.

Is There Still Hope for TRUMP?

Despite bearish warnings, some analysts remain optimistic. Crypto strategist Hoeem noted that an overall market recovery could mute the impact of the unlock. Meanwhile, traders like Sweep are identifying technical signals suggesting a rebound. TRUMP's price is also buoyed by heightened media attention and its underlying political narrative.

One bullish catalyst is a reported $100 million investment by Justin Sun, which has been interpreted by some as a sign of institutional confidence. If positive sentiment persists, Sweep suggests that the token could climb toward $40, assuming it survives the post-unlock wave.

TRUMP price supported by political and media factors

Market Capitalization and Risk Outlook

Currently, TRUMP holds a market cap of around $1.9 billion. Unlocking 45% of that supply could dramatically impact the token unless demand scales proportionally. While fundamentals remain speculative—as is often the case with meme coins—TRUMP's unique blend of political branding and social momentum may offer temporary insulation from panic-driven sell-offs.

Still, the coming week may prove decisive: a failure to absorb the new supply could trigger a cascade of liquidations, while a strong market or fresh capital injection could help TRUMP defy bearish expectations.