
Forex Outlook July 2025: Dollar Under Pressure, Yen and Oil Rally
Dollar Slumps as Policy, Fiscal and Trade Risks Mount
Dollar Slumps as Policy, Fiscal and Trade Risks Mount
Forex EUR/USD: Euro Consolidates Near Multi-Year Highs as Dollar Pressured
Summary: Why the EUR/USD Exchange Rate Is Set for a Defining Year
On the global forex market, the US dollar continues its moderate decline against key rivals, including the euro, pound sterling, and Japanese yen. This trend has been shaped by a convergence of monetary policy shifts, weak US macroeconomic indicators, and ongoing geopolitical adjustments.
EUR/USD: Euro Extends Bullish Momentum to 1.1680
USD Rallies Against Majors Amid Fed Caution and Inflation Concerns
The euro continues its moderate corrective advance against the US dollar during the Asian session, breaking to new highs not seen since October 2021 as EUR/USD tests the $1.1615 resistance. Dollar sentiment remains fragile following weekend headlines: a US-led airstrike on Iranian nuclear sites was quickly followed by counterattacks from Tehran targeting military installations in Qatar and Iraq — yet, crucially, without major damage. As the week opened, both Iran and Israel agreed in principle to a ceasefire, easing geopolitical risk and weakening the dollar’s safe-haven appeal, even as scattered reports of violations persist.