Forex Market Review: Dollar Firms, German Ifo Rises
United States of America. The US dollar is strengthening against the pound and the yen, while showing mixed performance against the euro.
United States of America. The US dollar is strengthening against the pound and the yen, while showing mixed performance against the euro.
The XAU/USD pair is consolidating, trading just below the 4,200.00 mark as market participants await the outcome of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy meeting scheduled for December 10. There is almost no doubt that the regulator will cut rates by 25 basis points to the 3.50–3.75% range. Updated macroeconomic projections to be presented alongside the decision may influence sentiment across global markets. Expectations of monetary easing are already supporting gold, which gained 1.2% over the past week, making it attractive to investors looking to hedge inflation and currency volatility risks. Despite fluctuations, the overall trend remains positive, with traders continuing to build long positions in anticipation of a weaker dollar and lower borrowing costs.
During the morning session, the leading U.S. tech index NQ 100 is posting a mild upside move, testing the 25,750.0 level for a breakout and renewing the highs from November 4. Market activity remains subdued as traders await the results of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting, scheduled for December 10 at 21:00 (GMT+2).
The US dollar is weakening against the British pound and shows mixed movements against the euro and the Japanese yen.
The USDX index is showing a downward trend after attempting corrective growth the previous day, with the instrument testing the 98.85 level for a potential breakout to the downside as investors await the US Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for December 10.
Wells Fargo & Co. shares continue to move lower, trading near the 90.00 level as the correction deepens.
The GBP/USD pair is consolidating near 1.3344, with the pound receiving strong support after Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves presented a new budget to Parliament. The document, positioned as a long-term recovery plan for the national economy, includes measures aimed at significantly increasing tax revenues by £26 billion.
EUR/USD. The euro is trading sideways in the EUR/USD pair, extending a mild corrective move that formed yesterday: the pair is testing the 1.1650 level to break lower while investors digest fresh macroeconomic data.
The EUR/USD pair is moving in a corrective trend around 1.1654: recent EU data has had little impact on the euro, but at 12:00 (GMT+2) fresh numbers on the state of the eurozone economy will be released, which could increase volatility in the pair.
The euro–dollar pair (EUR/USD) bounced from the 1.15 area in late November and has since moved toward 1.1650, supported by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates more aggressively in the coming year.
EUR/USD. The euro is gaining in value against the US dollar in the EUR/USD pair, consolidating near 1.1685 and the local highs from October 17. The instrument is developing a fairly strong bullish impulse formed the day before, as well as an overall short-term upward trend.
The benchmark Brent crude oil price is moving in a downward trend below 63.00, with trading volumes remaining stable against the backdrop of fresh sector forecasts from Fitch Ratings. The agency now expects the average price per barrel this year to be 69.0 dollars, below the previous estimate of 70.0 dollars, while in 2026 and 2027 experts project a correction to 63.0 and 65.0 dollars respectively, amid a significant supply surplus driven by steady production. In addition, analysts’ estimates factor in a possible reduction in exports from Russia and the maintenance of current output levels agreed within OPEC+.
The British pound is strengthening in the GBP/USD pair, recovering after the decline seen earlier this week when the instrument retreated from the local highs recorded on October 29.
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