On Tuesday, WLD ranked among the stronger altcoins: over the past 24 hours, the token gained around 9%, starting a recovery after weak performance in recent months. Increased attention to the asset is also linked to the officially confirmed Lift Off event, where a live presentation focused on the development of World ID is expected. The event will be hosted by Alex Blania and Sam Altman.

So far, this topic has remained somewhat under the radar because geopolitical risks continue to dominate the news cycle. Even so, the coming days may be important for Worldcoin. The project continues to position itself as infrastructure for verifying real human identity online — a Proof of Human concept in a digital world increasingly shaped by artificial intelligence.

Why the Market Is Looking at WLD Again

Beyond the news backdrop, the token also has its own market catalyst. In recent months, WLD has remained a popular short target, largely because of persistent supply pressure from token issuance. However, the project recently announced that beginning in July, the token unlock pace is expected to decline by around 43%. This has revived discussion about a possible reduction in future supply pressure.

Market participants also remember that ahead of the project’s previous major event in April 2025, the token had already shown a strong upward move. As a result, some traders are now asking whether that pattern may be repeating.

Worldcoin Technical Picture

Over the past 24 hours, WLD traded in a range between $0.2928 and $0.3279. The current closing price is around $0.321, noticeably above the previous close of $0.2934. The project’s market capitalization is estimated at approximately $1.1 billion.

The price is currently trading above the EMA-20 at 0.2982, while the chart is forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This supports a short-term bullish scenario.

The nearest support is located around $0.300, where the dynamic EMA-20 zone is found. A stronger support area sits near $0.2729, where the Fibonacci level aligns with the lower Bollinger Band. The nearest resistance is at $0.3279, the current intraday high.

Momentum Remains Intact

The RSI is around 62.5, which points to moderately strong buying momentum without signaling an extreme overbought condition. The histogram also shows positive acceleration. This suggests that, in the short term, the upside move still has room to continue.

The width of the Bollinger Bands is around $0.04844, indicating rising volatility. At the same time, price swings have clearly expanded, but they do not yet appear extreme. For the market, this means a phase of elevated tension, increasing price amplitude, and a medium level of risk for speculative traders.

WLD Scenarios Based on the Current Setup

Based on the current technical structure and the data from the pinned image, the neutral scenario remains the base case for now.

Neutral Scenario — 45% Probability

Target range: $0.30–$0.33
Invalidation level: 0.273

This scenario assumes that the price continues to hold above the EMA-20 (0.2982), while the RSI remains above 50. In that case, the middle Bollinger Band would serve as an important support reference. The key levels within the neutral scenario are 0.2982 as dynamic support, 0.2729 as a strong technical support zone, and 0.3279 as the nearest resistance.

Bullish Scenario — 35% Probability

Target range: $0.328–$0.38
Invalidation level: 0.305

The bullish scenario would be confirmed if the price can decisively break and close above $0.328 on rising volume. In that case, the next target would be around $0.350, after which the market could begin targeting $0.38. An additional confirmation of buyer strength would be an RSI move above 70. The pinned table specifically highlights 0.3279 as an important intraday high and 0.350 as the next meaningful upside reference.

Bearish Scenario — 20% Probability

Target range: $0.27–$0.22
Invalidation level: 0.328

The negative scenario would begin to strengthen if the price falls below $0.300 and consolidates under the EMA-20. If at the same time the RSI drops below 50 and selling volume increases, downside pressure could intensify. The key bearish reference is the $0.2729 zone. A break below it would open the way toward $0.24–$0.22. At the same time, a return above $0.328 would invalidate the bearish scenario.

Key Worldcoin Levels

Resistance: 0.3279, 0.3500, 0.3800.

Support: 0.3000, 0.2982, 0.2729, 0.2400, 0.2200.

Short-Term WLD Forecast

At the moment, the short-term outlook for Worldcoin remains moderately bullish as long as the price holds above the EMA-20. The immediate task for buyers is to secure a move above the 0.3279–0.3280 area. If that happens, the market may quickly test 0.3500 and then move toward 0.38.

If momentum weakens and the price slips back below 0.3000, the risk of a deeper correction will increase, with a renewed test of 0.2729. As long as that level is not broken to the downside, the structure still looks like an attempt to extend the recovery ahead of an important news event.

Conclusion: WLD has received two reasons to rise at once — expectations surrounding the Lift Off event and reduced concern about future supply pressure. However, technically, the market is still in a confirmation zone: for a full bullish continuation, the token needs a confident move above $0.328. Until then, the main view remains cautiously positive, with elevated volatility.