The pair has continued to decline steadily for the second consecutive month, forming a new downward trend. Last week, quotations attempted an upward correction following the release of weak US employment data for June. The price reached the 1.1718 level (Murray level [4/8], the upper Bollinger Band), where it is currently trading. Consolidation above this level would open the prospect of further growth toward 1.2695 (Murray level [5/8]) and 1.3671 (Murray level [6/8]). The key level for bears appears to be 1.0742 (Murray level [3/8]) below the middle Bollinger Band. A downside breakout below this level would lead to a resumption of the pair’s decline toward 0.9765 (Murray level [2/8]) and 0.7812 (Murray level [0/8]). Technical indicators generally allow for further downside movement. The Bollinger Bands are turning downward. The MACD histogram is declining but remains in negative territory. The Stochastic oscillator is also turning lower from the overbought zone. It should also be noted that on the weekly chart, the Bollinger Bands continue to point downward, confirming the persistence of the long-term bearish trend and making further downside movement more likely.
Support and resistance levels
Resistance levels: 1.1718, 1.2695, 1.3671.
Support levels: 1.0742, 0.9765, 0.7812.

XRP/USD Trading Scenarios and Price Forecast
Short positions may be opened below 1.0742 with targets at 0.9765 and 0.7812 and a stop-loss around 1.1500. Expected implementation period: 5–7 days.
Long positions may be opened above 1.1718 with targets at 1.2695 and 1.3671 and a stop-loss around 1.1000.
Scenario
| Timeframe |
Weekly |
| Recommendation |
SELL STOP |
| Entry point |
1.0740 |
| Take Profit |
0.9765, 0.7812 |
| Stop Loss |
1.1500 |
| Key levels |
0.7812, 0.9765, 1.0742, 1.1718, 1.2695, 1.3671 |
Alternative Scenario
| Recommendation |
BUY STOP |
| Entry point |
1.1720 |
| Take Profit |
1.2695, 1.3671 |
| Stop Loss |
1.1000 |
| Key levels |
0.7812, 0.9765, 1.0742, 1.1718, 1.2695, 1.3671 |
John Isige is an experienced cryptocurrency journalist and market analyst specializing in digital assets, blockchain innovation, and emerging Web3 trends. He provides clear, actionable market insights for traders and investors, with particular expertise in DeFi, smart contracts, NFTs, RWAs, and AI-powered blockchain ecosystems. His commentary and analysis have been featured in FORECK.INFO, CoinGape, CryptoNews, and other leading digital finance publications