XRP/USD — Technical Outlook and Trading Forecast

Overall, XRP’s growth since the beginning of the month has been modest, as political uncertainty pushed investors toward digital assets linked to ETFs — mainly BTC and ETH. The current correction is driven by profit-taking and uncertainty around the U.S. Federal Reserve’s next moves. The ADP employment report showed a second consecutive monthly decline of 32,000 jobs, strengthening expectations of further Fed rate cuts — possibly twice before year-end. However, subsequent comments from Fed officials were cautious and disappointed markets. The regulator remains divided: some members favor monetary easing to support the labor market, while others insist inflation remains too high to justify cuts. The lack of fresh macro data due to the government shutdown makes the Fed’s next steps even harder to predict.

Additional pressure on XRP comes from Ripple’s pending application for a national banking license — the deadline for the decision has already passed with no official update. Despite this, overall investor interest in crypto remains strong: inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs continue to grow, and the “Fear & Greed Index” remains at a high level of 60. Analysts note that amid U.S. political instability, token outflows from exchanges persist — a potential signal of renewed accumulation and possible upside momentum.

Support and Resistance Levels

The asset remains within the sideways channel of 3.1250–2.7344 (Murray [4/8]–[2/8]). A confirmed breakdown below the lower boundary could extend the decline toward 2.5391 (Murray [–2/8]), while a rebound from current levels may trigger growth toward 3.1250 and 3.3203 (Murray [6/8]).

Technical indicators remain mixed: Bollinger Bands are flat, MACD hovers near the zero line with weak volume, and the Stochastic is moving downward toward oversold territory.

Resistance levels: 2.9297, 3.1250, 3.3203.
Support levels: 2.7344, 2.5391.

XRP/USD Trading Scenarios and Forecast

Long positions can be considered on a reversal near 2.7344 or a breakout above 2.9297, targeting 3.1250 and 3.3203, with stop losses at 2.6200 and 2.8470 respectively. Implementation period: 5–7 days.