Bitcoin Outlook: Short-Term Caution, Long-Term Potential
Li highlights that Bitcoin’s recent 6% drop—touching lows below $99,000 amid Middle East conflict—paired with the lack of a swift rebound, signals ongoing trader caution. While BTC recovered to $102,000, this should not be interpreted as a full escape from geopolitical and macroeconomic pressures.
The expert emphasizes Bitcoin’s potential as a defensive asset, citing its decentralized design, fixed supply, and $46 billion inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs as evidence of its continued role as a hedge against fiat devaluation. “Market resilience is supported by institutional buying and a neutral Fear & Greed Index reading of 54, but restrained risk appetite is limiting a broader recovery,” notes Li.
His forecast: Bitcoin could reach $110,000–$115,000 in Q3 2025 and $130,000–$160,000 by year’s end.
Ethereum: Rangebound Now, Stronger Ahead
For Ethereum, Li expects a short-term range of $2,600–$2,800. Over the long term, he sees upside potential toward $4,500–$5,500, driven by growing adoption and network upgrades.
The current environment underscores the importance of monitoring macro events and risk appetite. Both BTC and ETH remain favored by institutions as portfolio hedges, even amid heightened global uncertainty.