The company disappointed investors after releasing a rather weak report for the fourth quarter of 2025, which showed a decline in earnings per share (EPS) to $1.30, below the forecast of $1.32, while revenue came in at $5.08 billion, slightly above expectations of $5.02 billion. The report highlighted several negative factors limiting growth: core cigarette shipment volumes fell by 7.0% quarter-on-quarter, compared with an industry average decline of 6.5%. However, leading analysts believe this metric should not be overstated, as the White House is actively cracking down on illegal e-cigarette distribution, which supports the traditional tobacco segment. Management expects share performance to improve from 2.5% to 5.5% by the second half of the year. Against this backdrop, analysts at Stifel Financial Corp. maintained a “Buy” rating on the stock with a target price of $72.00 per share, $5.00 above the current level.

The board of directors has not yet approved a new dividend date or amount for the reporting year. The dividend was due to be indexed in the penultimate quarter and is expected to total $1.06 per share, equivalent to a quarterly yield of 7.19%, significantly above the industry average of 3.83%.

Support and Resistance Levels

On the daily chart, the instrument is declining within a local corrective trend, remaining above the resistance line of a descending channel with boundaries at 65.00–53.00.

Technical indicators maintain a buy signal: the EMA range of the Alligator oscillator remains wide, while the AO histogram is forming corrective bars in positive territory.

Resistance levels: 70.00, 76.00.

Support levels: 64.00, 57.00.

Altria Group Inc. chart

Trading Scenarios and Altria Group Price Forecast

Long positions can be opened after price rises and consolidates above 70.00, with a target at 76.00 and a stop-loss at 67.00. Time horizon: 7 days or more.

Short positions can be opened after price falls and consolidates below 64.00, with a target at 57.00 and a stop-loss at 67.00.

Scenario

Timeframe Weekly
Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 70.05
Take Profit 76.00
Stop Loss 67.00
Key Levels 57.00, 64.00, 70.00, 76.00

Alternative Scenario

Recommendation SELL STOP
Entry Point 63.95
Take Profit 57.00
Stop Loss 67.00
Key Levels 57.00, 64.00, 70.00, 76.00