Rising wave of bullish XRP predictions

Crypto analysts are racing to publish bold forecasts. Ali Martinez projects a “modest” $15 per XRP, while Sistine Research goes as high as $50. Some influencers at Coin Theory predict anywhere from $100 to $1,000. Their argument: XRP is far smaller than Bitcoin or Ethereum, with lower liquidity, and could skyrocket if spot ETFs launch and quickly attract $10 billion or more in inflows.

Ripple spot ETF approval odds in 2025
Ripple spot ETF approval odds in 2025 | Source: Polymarket

In a best-case scenario, the coming months could bring rapid developments:

  1. The SEC approves Ripple ETFs by October, fueling billions in TradFi investment. JPMorgan even estimates XRP could see $4–8 billion in new capital through ETFs.

  2. Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD gains adoption, boosting usage of the XRP Ledger and indirectly supporting XRP demand.

  3. More treasury firms follow VivoPower’s example, steadily accumulating XRP similar to how Strategy did with Bitcoin.

  4. Ripple Labs launches an IPO, creating fresh excitement.

  5. A broader crypto bull market adds momentum.

    If all five bullish drivers aligned, could XRP truly break above $100—or even approach $1,000?

Unit bias: coin price vs. total value

New investors often fall for unit bias, assuming a coin with a low price per token has more upside. XRP at $2.82 looks “cheap” compared to Bitcoin or Ethereum, but the key metric is market capitalization, not price per unit.

If XRP climbed to $100, its market cap would be about $5.96 trillion. By comparison, all Bitcoin are worth $2.29 trillion, and Nvidia—the world’s most valuable company—is $4.34 trillion. At $100, XRP would rank just below gold and above all BigTech firms, a scenario Ripple CTO David Schwartz himself calls unrealistic.

People look at XRP’s low price and assume, ‘If it climbs even half as much as Bitcoin, I’ll make a fortune.’ That logic doesn’t hold up. Still, the low dollar value per coin has a strong psychological pull, giving investors the impression they’re getting in early. Schwartz compared it to the stock market, recalling how his grandmother once dismissed a company simply because a single share looked too expensive, even though buying fewer shares would have worked the same

Why $1,000 XRP is pure fantasy

If $100 XRP already looks far-fetched, then $1,000 predictions are simply impossible. Based on today’s circulating supply, that would mean a $59.6 trillion market cap—more than double gold’s valuation and many times the combined market value of Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, and Amazon.

To put it in perspective, the entire global stock market is worth around $124 trillion. A $1,000 XRP would make the coin nearly half of all publicly listed capital worldwide. In other words, the likelihood of $1,000 XRP is close to zero. Winning the lottery or solo-mining a Bitcoin block would be more realistic.

Conclusion

Three- and four-digit XRP forecasts may look attractive on social media, but they collapse under economic scrutiny. Even though Ripple’s coin could benefit from ETFs, treasury adoption, and an IPO in the coming months, investors should avoid unit bias and assess XRP’s potential realistically compared to Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and other leading cryptocurrencies.