Federal Reserve News & Analysis Today

The Federal Reserve, often called the Fed, is the central bank of the United States. It was created in 1913, after President Woodrow Wilson signed the Federal Reserve Act in response to a severe financial panic a few years earlier. The system is unusual because it combines a central governing board in Washington with twelve regional Reserve Banks located across the country, plus the Federal Open Market Committee, which makes the key decisions on interest rates and monetary policy. While member banks are required to hold shares in their regional Reserve Banks, these shares do not work like normal corporate stock, since profits are transferred to the U.S. Treasury rather than distributed to shareholders. The Fed’s job covers several major areas: it manages inflation and employment through monetary policy, keeps the banking and financial system stable, supervises banks, operates the backbone of the payments system, and protects consumers in financial markets. Its decisions on interest rates affect borrowing costs for businesses and households, influence investment flows, and often set the tone for financial markets not just in the United States but around the world.

  • The US dollar is strengthening against the euro and the British pound, while weakening versus the Japanese yen.

  • This week, most major digital assets recovered part of their recent losses: BTC is trading near 91,000 (+3.2%), ETH is hovering around 3,000 (+5.6%), USDT remains stable at 1.0002 (+0.15%), XRP is at 2.2100 (+6.3%), and BNB is at 881.00 (+3.1%). Total crypto market capitalization reached $3.10 trillion by the end of the week, with Bitcoin’s dominance at 58.6%. Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $149.8 million, while Ethereum ETFs recorded $236.0 million.

  • The GBP/USD pair is correcting around the 1.3257 level following the publication of the UK government budget plan by Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves, which increases tax revenues by £26.0 billion to 38.0% of gross domestic product (GDP).

  • This week, the EUR/USD pair is correcting higher toward the medium-term downtrend as a possible divergence in the monetary policy paths of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the U.S. Federal Reserve plays out, with the price testing 1.1597 (Murrey level [2/8]).

  • EUR/USD. The euro is gaining ground against the US dollar, testing the 1.1600 level to the upside. The pair is preparing to end the current week with a fairly solid gain, while the main driver behind the correction in the greenback remains expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut as early as the December meeting. According to the CME Group FedWatch Tool, the probability of such a scenario currently stands at 85.0%.

  • EUR/USD. The euro is gaining in the EUR/USD pair, developing a weak bullish momentum formed the day before and testing the 1.1515 level for an upside breakout, while investors are waiting for new catalysts that could clarify the outlook for the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy.

  • United States. The US dollar is strengthening against the yen and the pound, while showing mixed performance versus the euro.

  • EUR/USD. The euro is trading mixed against the US dollar, consolidating around the 1.1600 area. Market participants are reluctant to open new positions ahead of today’s eurozone inflation release at 12:00 (GMT+2) and the minutes of the October FOMC meeting at 21:00 (GMT+2).

  • The euro is showing mixed dynamics against the US dollar in the EUR/USD pair, consolidating near 1.1600. Market participants are in no hurry to open new positions ahead of today’s eurozone inflation release at 12:00 (GMT+2), as well as the minutes of the October FOMC meeting at 21:00 (GMT+2). Forecasts suggest that October core CPI will hold at 2.4%, while the broader headline index is expected to rise by 2.1%. However, these figures are unlikely to meaningfully change investor expectations regarding future ECB monetary policy: the regulator has effectively completed its easing cycle and is now more concerned about growth momentum and labour-market conditions.

  • EUR/USD. The euro is gaining in value against the US dollar in the EUR/USD pair, correcting after yesterday’s sharp decline: the instrument is testing the 1.1600 level for an upside breakout, while investors and forex traders are preparing for the release of US macroeconomic data.

  • The final two months of 2025 could become a turning point for the digital asset market. Regulators are catching up after an unprecedented U.S. government shutdown, while new exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to lesser-known cryptocurrencies are lining up for approval.

  • United States of America.The US dollar is losing ground against the yen and shows mixed performance in pairs with the euro and the pound.

  • Amid sharp declines in the S&P 500, Nasdaq and other major U.S. indices, heavy whale selling, and growing uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s next policy move, Bitcoin continues to slide lower.

  • EUR/USD. The euro is gaining ground against the US dollar, with the pair heading into the end of the week with solid momentum. EUR/USD is testing the 1.1650 level to the upside as traders wait for fresh catalysts to drive the next move.

  • EUR/USD. The euro shows a restrained rise in the EUR/USD pair, extending the upward momentum from the previous day that led to an update of the local highs from October 30. Traders are assessing October’s inflation data from Germany: the annual consumer price index settled at 2.3%, and the monthly reading at 0.3%, which aligns with the previously stated position of the European Central Bank (ECB), allowing it to maintain its monetary policy unchanged.

  • In the Forex market, major currency pairs — EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, and XAU/USD — are showing mixed dynamics amid expectations surrounding the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision and the potential end of the U.S. government shutdown. Investors are analyzing fresh macroeconomic data and central bank signals, which are shaping the overall direction of currency and commodity instruments.

  • This week the cryptocurrency market remains under pressure: BTC is trading around 101,800.00 (–7.4%), ETH near 3,345.00 (–13.3%), and USDT around 1.0008 (–0.02%). XRP has returned to fourth place by market cap at 2.2200 (–11.5%), while BNB has slipped to around 970.00 (–10.2%). Total market capitalization has fallen to $3.40 trillion, BTC’s market share has reached 59.7%, while Bitcoin-ETF holdings declined by $650.0 million and Ethereum-ETF holdings by $461.1 million.

  • United States. The U.S. dollar continues to weaken against its major rivals — the euro, the pound, and the yen.

  • United States of America. The US dollar weakens against the pound and shows mixed performance in pairs with the euro and the yen.

  • Gold prices have been correcting for the third consecutive week, trading near 4000.00 under pressure from monetary and trade factors. Last Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut the benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75–4.00% and announced the end of its quantitative tightening program effective December 1. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell later suggested that the central bank may keep policy unchanged in December, disappointing investors who had expected another rate cut before year-end. Powell noted that officials increasingly see the need for a pause to evaluate the impact of previous decisions.