Short-Term TRX Targets

Following the crypto market’s broad weakness, Tron fell to $0.272, aligning with bearish sentiment across major assets. Yet, several on-chain indicators suggest an upcoming shift. The number of Tron accounts has surpassed 350 million for the first time, while transaction volume on decentralized perpetual exchanges built on Tron rose 271% in November, reaching $9.07 trillion.

Further support could come from the Stablecoin Act recently signed by Donald Trump. Tron remains the most popular network for stablecoin transfers thanks to low fees. It continues to serve as a primary gateway for issuers such as Tether to inject liquidity into the crypto market. Total stablecoin market cap on Tron now exceeds $80 billion, near record highs.

To confirm its recovery, bulls must break above the 20-day EMA near this week’s high. A breakout could open a move toward the Supertrend level at $0.289. Conversely, failure to hold $0.277 risks another retest of $0.272.

Tron: Bullish Targets in the Coming Months

Bullish targets: $0.289, $0.293–$0.298, $0.305, $0.319–$0.326, $0.334, $0.354–$0.362, $0.369

Tron is attempting to break its months-long downtrend, with the turquoise support zone holding firmly for four consecutive weeks. A strong reclaim of the 20-day EMA would target a heavy resistance cluster at $0.293–$0.298, where the following technical barriers converge:

  • the 50-day EMA

  • the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement

  • the 200-day EMA

Rejection occurred here in mid-November, but a breakout would enable upside to $0.306, and ideally toward $0.319–$0.326, which acted as a pivot zone throughout the summer. Breaking above this region could open a move toward $0.334, and eventually into the Golden Pocket at $0.354–$0.362. In the near term, that area remains the maximum upside target, although a brief spike toward $0.369 cannot be ruled out.

Bearish Targets in the Coming Months

Bearish targets: $0.278–$0.271, $0.261–$0.258, $0.240, $0.225–$0.212

Despite short-term stabilization, the trend remains vulnerable below the 20-day EMA. A renewed market sell-off, particularly if Bitcoin prints new lows, could drag TRX back to $0.271. Losing support would likely trigger a drop toward $0.258, where the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement sits.

If bearish momentum persists, TRX could slide further toward $0.240, and potentially into the major support zone at $0.225–$0.212, which acted as a strong floor between January and April 2025. Given Tron’s relative strength against other assets, a return to annual lows currently appears unlikely.

Indicator View

On the daily chart, the RSI has formed a bullish divergence, supporting the case for an upside recovery. A move back into the neutral zone would further reduce the likelihood of new lows. However, the weekly RSI recently flashed a sell signal, which would be invalidated only with a sustained reclaim of the 20-day EMA. On the monthly chart, RSI is cooling from overbought summer levels, but as long as it stays above neutral, the broader bullish signal remains intact.